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The SIT formed to probe the Dinanagar attack believes that the strike was undertaken by the Laskhar-e-Toiba, while the attack on the Pathankot Air Force Station was the handiwork of Jaish-e-Mohammad. Both are Pakistan-based terror outfits and had used Mastgarh village route to enter India.
A counterpart of the principle of least action in Nature is that attackers in human conflict follow the path of least resistance. Thus, Sun Tzu notes: Now an army may be likened to water, for just as water avoids heights and hastens to the lowlands, so an army avoids strength and strikes weakness. For attacks by terrorists, cyber hackers or warring states, quantitative risk modelling is unified by the principles of adversarial conflict, such as those laid out by Sun Tzu. The well-defined principles underlying quantitative terrorism risk modelling minimize the need to resort to expert judgement (Woo 2011, 2015). Within the bounds defined by the Western counter-terrorism environment, terrorists maximize their operational utility by abiding by the classic principles of terrorist modus operandi: substituting hardened targets; following the path of least resistance in weapon selection; and leveraging their scarce resources to achieve the greatest impact. The metric for impact includes not just loss inflicted but also the media attention gained. An insightful ISIS slogan is that media is half Jihad. Media coverage is essential for terrorist recruitment and funding, as well as for propaganda. This is so important that in 2002, Osama bin Laden wrote that the media war may reach 90% of the preparation for battles (Awan 2016).
CM Terrorism Crisis Protocols are now not only necessary for airlines, government buildings and mass transit organizations, but for businesses as a whole, from college campuses to nightclubs to movie theaters. The unfortunate and tragic reality is this: Terrorism and mass calamity can strike anywhere at any time. 2b1af7f3a8